Polymarket – Prediction Markets, Live Event Forecasts & Real-Time Probability Tracking
How it works
Log In
Sign Up
Prediction markets
7 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$233
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
78%
December 31
69%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
0
95%
Yes
No
1
47%
Yes
No
$1.1K
Vol.
Aug 10
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
42 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
60-79
65%
100–119
63%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
41 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
475-500mm
50%
650-700mm
42%
8 more
$809.11
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
34 trading now
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
34 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$578K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
Markets
Search
Activity
More